2018 WC third-place: Belgium vs. England odds, lines, expert picks and predictions

Kalerkantho Online   

14 July, 2018 15:18 PM

2018 WC third-place: Belgium vs. England odds, lines, expert picks and predictions

England will face Belgium for the second time in the 2018 World Cup. CREDIT: IAN KINGTON/AFP

A- A A+

Belgium and England square off for the second time at the 2018 World Cup on Saturday at 8pm (Bangladesh time). This time, it's in the 2018 World Cup third-place play-off from Saint Petersburg's Krestovsky Stadium.

Belgium defeated England 1-0 in the final group stage game, with Adnan Januzaj scoring the lone goal. Belgium enters Saturday's rematch at +130 on the money line, meaning you'd need to bet $100 on a Belgium victory to win $130. England is +200, while a draw in regulation is +250. The over-under on total goals scored in this 2018 World Cup match is 3.

Before you enter your 2018 World Cup picks for Belgium vs. England, you need to see what European football expert David Sumpter has to say. Sumpter is an applied mathematician and author of "Soccermatics," a book that explains how math works inside the sport. Together with other experienced analysts, Sumpter developed the powerful Soccerbot model.

The Soccerbot reads current odds and all team performance data, calculates key metrics and predicts upcoming matches. In nearly three seasons since its inception, the Soccerbot is up an incredible 1,800 percent on bookmakers' closing odds.

The model is crushing the World Cup knockout stage. It strongly recommended Croatia as an underdog at +135 against England in the semifinals. The result: Croatia stamped its ticket to the Russia 2018 final with a thrilling 2-1 victory.

It also correctly predicted draws in regulation for Spain-Russia (+280), Croatia-Denmark (+225) and England-Colombia (+215) and was all over France beating Uruguay in regulation to reach the semifinals, not to mention Brazil and Belgium cruising in their Round of 16 matchups, just to name a few of its big calls. Anyone who has followed it is way, way up.

Now, the Soccerbot has digested the film, crunched the numbers and broken down every player on the Belgian and English rosters. The model has released a very strong money-line pick, which it's sharing over at SportsLine.

The model knows England finished second in Group G after a loss to Belgium. It then allowed a stoppage-time tally to Colombia before winning on penalty kicks in the Round of 16. The English conquered the Swedes in the quarterfinals.

England hadn't conceded more than one goal in any 2018 World Cup fixture before the 2-1 loss in the semis, and it scored at least two goals three times. England has 2018 World Cup Golden Boot favorite Harry Kane in its corner. Kane is 1-7 to win the award and scored six goals.

The model also knows Belgium fell one game short of reaching the 2018 World Cup final after suffering a heartbreaking 1-0 defeat in the semifinals. It was Belgium's first defeat since the Red Devils lost a friendly against Spain in 2016. Despite having almost 64 percent of the possession in the semifinal, Belgium attempted just nine shots, while allowing 19, according to cbssports.

Belgium's golden generation, which features Eden Hazard, Kevin de Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku, played extremely well in Russia 2018. The trio combined to lead Belgium's attack with seven goals and four assists at the 2018 World Cup.